Here are a bunch of graphs representing our season wide trends on all
team level stats I tracked. On every X-axis you will see the game ID
number (what game of the season it was as well as the result of the
game. Note for result I categorized overtime games as ties.)
Coaches Stats



Transition







O-Zone shot creation on a per 60 basis (Shot levels
divided by 5v5 time then multiplied by 60)




How We Scored / Got Scored On
(Only 5v5)
49 Goals For at 5v5
- 59% of goals off a controlled entry
- 22% of goals off a dump-in
- 12% of goals off O-zone faceoffs
- 43% of goals off the rush
- 43% of goals from the forecheck
- 27% of goals from a net front event
41 Goals Against
- 51% off controlled entries
- 24% off uncontrolled entries
- 20% off faceoffs in our zone
- 44% off the rush
- 37% off the forecheck / turnovers
- 37% from net front events
Correlation Analysis
General guidelines for interpretation are:
- 0.8 – 1.0: Very strong relationship
- 0.6 – 0.8: Strong relationship
- 0.4 – 0.6: Moderate relationship
- 0.2 – 0.4: Weak relationship
- Below 0.2: Does not matter
Points
What stat led us to getting or not getting 2 points on a given
night.

Takeaways
- There is a strong negative correlation between goals allowed and
points earned — even stronger than the correlation between goals for and
points.
- Odd-man rushes for have the highest correlation with points (outside
of actual goals). This could partially be because we generate more
odd-man rushes when leading, but it still highlights their
importance.
- Special teams goal differential, Grade A chances for, rush shots/60,
and odd-man rush differential all show a small but noticeable
relationship with points.
- Uncontrolled entries are negatively correlated with earning points,
which is an interesting and potentially actionable insight.
Even Strength Goals For Corr
Normalized for even strength ice time, as this is different each
game

Takeaways
- Great relationship with the Grade A chance metric we track in game,
means this is a good indicator of how we played offensively (Much better
then instats expected goals model which only correlates to goals 0.2% of
the time much worse then NHL models that are close to 50%)
- The other valuable info from this is our rush offence and efficiency
drives goals, with odd man rushes for, shots per controlled entry and
controlled entries being some of our biggest drivers
Even Strength Goals Against Corr

Takeaways
- Most important stat for us in terms of limiting goals against is,
successful zone exit rate, shows our hand tracked zone exit stats are a
valuable player evaluation tool
- Interestingly controlled entries/60 and odd man rushes for are
correlated with not giving up goals. This pushes back against the idea
of dump-ins and not adding an extra d-man on the rush are detrimental to
our defense, this is especially encouraging as those 2 stats correlate
to goals for and they don’t seemingly have any drawbacks. A major caveat
is this is not causal so it could be that in games we give up few goals
we are winning and the other team gets aggressive giving us odd man
rushes the other way and controlled entries
- No real stats that lead to us regularly giving up a lot of
goals